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ZYBERNO

Stock Report

Updated Aug 31, 2026

NextDecade Corp (NEXT)

Utilities • NASDAQ

$7.35

NextDecade Corporation is an American liquefied natural gas company headquartered in Houston, Texas, that is developing the Rio Grande LNG export terminal in Brownsville, Texas. The facility has secured significant long-term offtake contracts with major energy companies and aims to be a major U.S. LNG export terminal benefiting from proximity to the Permian Basin and Gulf Coast natural gas supply.

Professional Investment Analysis

ZYBERNO SCORE →

Is it a great business? Is it getting better?

0.0/100

POOR BUSINESS

NextDecade Corp (NEXT) scores 0/100 — concerning metrics indicating significant structural or financial risks.

📊 How is the Zyberno Score calculated? +

The Zyberno Score answers one question: "Is this a quality business worth owning?" It's a 0-100 investment grade that evaluates business fundamentals across four critical dimensions, based on principles from Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, and Charlie Munger.

The 4 Core Categories (25 points each):

1. PROFITABILITY (25 pts)

Metrics: ROE, ROIC, Net Margin, Operating Margin
Thresholds: ROE >20% excellent • ROIC >20% excellent • Net Margin >20% excellent • Operating Margin >25% excellent

2. FINANCIAL STRENGTH (25 pts)

Metrics: Debt-to-Equity, Current Ratio, Interest Coverage, Altman Z-Score
Thresholds: D/E <0.3 excellent • Current Ratio >2.5 excellent • Interest Coverage >10x excellent • Altman Z >3.0 safe

3. CASH FLOW QUALITY (25 pts)

Metrics: Free Cash Flow, OCF vs Net Income, FCF Margin
Thresholds: Positive & growing FCF excellent • OCF/NI >1.2x excellent (cash earnings exceed accounting)

4. GROWTH & CONSISTENCY (25 pts)

Metrics: Revenue Growth, Net Income Growth, FCF Growth, Piotroski F-Score
Thresholds: Growth via log-linear regression • Piotroski 8-9 excellent, 6-7 good

Score Interpretation:

75-100

GREAT BUSINESS

65-74

GOOD BUSINESS

50-64

AVERAGE BUSINESS

30-49

WEAK BUSINESS

0-29

POOR BUSINESS

→ View full NEXT quality analysis & detailed breakdown

VALUATION SIGNAL

N/A (Requires more data)

Requires fair value calculation and current price data

💰 How is Margin of Safety calculated? +

Margin of Safety measures how much discount or premium you're paying relative to a stock's intrinsic value. It's Benjamin Graham's core principle: the larger the margin, the lower your downside risk.

Formula: (Intrinsic Value − Current Price) ÷ Intrinsic Value × 100%

How We Calculate Intrinsic Value (DCF Method):

Step 1: Calculate current Owner Earnings (OCF − Maintenance CapEx)

Step 2: Calculate company-specific growth rate using log-linear regression on 16 quarters of Owner Earnings

Step 3: Project 10 years forward using the calculated growth rate

Step 4: Discount each year's cash flow to present value using 10% discount rate

Step 5: Calculate terminal value using 3% perpetual growth rate

Step 6: Sum all discounted cash flows = Intrinsic Value

What The Percentages Mean:

+50% or more

EXCELLENT — Very undervalued

+25% to +50%

GOOD — Attractive discount

0% to +25%

FAIR — Reasonable value

0% to -25%

CAUTION — Slight premium

-25% or worse

POOR — Overvalued

"Price is what you pay, value is what you get." — Warren Buffett

→ View full NEXT valuation analysis · → View full NEXT Brina Gap analysis

📈 How is Brina Gap calculated? +

Brina Gap measures the difference between the growth a business can fundamentally sustain and the growth the market is already pricing in.

Formula: Fundamental Growth Rate − Market-Implied Growth Rate

The Two Components:

Fundamental Growth Rate = ROIC × Reinvestment Rate

What the business can sustainably grow at based on how much it reinvests and what return it earns on that capital. Grounded in historical financials.

Market-Implied Growth Rate = Reverse DCF

The growth rate the current Enterprise Value implicitly assumes. Calculated by back-solving a 10-year DCF model (10% WACC, 3% terminal growth) until the present value of projected cash flows equals EV.

What The Gap Means:

Gap > +5% Market Underestimates — potential upside

+2% to +5% Slight Underestimate

-2% to +2% Fairly Priced — market consensus matches fundamentals

-5% to -2% Slight Overestimate

Gap < -5% Market Overestimates — price embeds optimism fundamentals don't support

A positive gap (market underestimates) combined with a positive Margin of Safety is the strongest combined signal — the business is both cheap historically and forward economics are stronger than the price suggests.

Critical Financial Health Indicators

Return on Equity (Profitability):CRITICAL (-15.6%)

Debt-to-Equity (Solvency Risk):CRITICAL (3.87x)

Operating Margin (Operational Efficiency):CRITICAL (0.0%)

Return on Capital (Capital Efficiency):CRITICAL (-1.3%)

📊 Valuation Trilogy

Three interconnected metrics for complete valuation analysis

Click any metric for full methodology and detailed analysis

Zyberno's Verdict

NextDecade Corp (NEXT) stock report — Zyberno Score 0/100 (POOR BUSINESS). Full financial analysis on Zyberno.

Over the trailing twelve months, NEXT generated -$223.41M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $18.00K returned via share buybacks, $5.25B invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -2,834.3%.

DIVISION I: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A. Market Valuation

Market Price & Capitalization (2)

Current Price:7.35

Market Cap:$1.95B

Valuation Multiples (2)

P/B Ratio:0.69x

Peg Ratio:-999.00x

Enterprise Metrics (1)

Enterprise Value:$12.34B

Price Action & Momentum (3)

12-1 Momentum:

-42.5% (25th pctile)

📈 Click to view full NEXT Momentum analysis →

Momentum Percentile:25 / 100

% of 52-Week High:65.2%

B. Profitability Assessment

Return Metrics (5)

ROE:

-15.6%

📊 Click to view full NEXT ROE analysis →

ROA:-2.9%

Roic:

-1.3%

📊 Click to view full NEXT ROIC analysis →

Reinvestment Rate:-2,834.3%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):36.6%

Margin Analysis (1)

Ebitda Margin:0.0%

Yield Metrics (2)

Earnings Yield:-$18.50

Dividend Yield:0.0%

C. Log-Linear Regression Growth Trends

Earnings Surprise (SUE) (3)

Earnings Surprise (SUE):

+0.40

📊 Click to view full NEXT Earnings Surprise analysis →

EPS Surprise vs Expected:30.6%

Latest Earnings Filed:2026-07-30

Earnings Growth (Linear) (1)

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-2.1%

D. Financial Stability

Liquidity Ratios (3)

Current Ratio:0.37x

Quick Ratio:0.37x

Cash Ratio:0.05x

Leverage Analysis (3)

Debt To Equity Ttm:3.87x

Debt-to-Equity Ratio:3.87x

Debt To Ebitda:-999.00x

Coverage Ratios (2)

Interest Coverage Ratio:-0.80x

Times Interest Earned:-0.80

Capital Structure (4)

Working Capital:-1,060,600,000.00

Cash And Cash Equivalents:83,678,000.00

Long Term Debt:$10.42B

Net Debt:$10.40B

DIVISION II: FINANCIAL STATEMENTS ANALYSIS

A. Income Statement Analysis

Revenue Components (2)

$0.00

Cost Of Revenue Ttm:$0.00

Profitability Breakdown (2)

$0.00-$227.43M

Bottom Line Performance (3)

Net income TTM: -$369.00M

Linear Growth: -2.1%

📊 Click to view full NEXT Net Income analysis & methodology →

Income Before Tax:$0.00

Ebitda Ttm:-210,504,000.00

Operating Expenses (5)

Operating Expenses:227,434,000.00

R And D Expense:11,444,000.00

Sga Expense:185,533,000.00

Income Tax Expense:$0.00

Interest Expense:283,997,000.00

Expense Ratios (1)

Ebitda Margin:0.0%

B. Balance Sheet Analysis

Asset Composition (5)

Total Assets:$15.21B

Current Assets:$631.91M

Ppe Net:13,080,147,000.00

Goodwill:0.00

Intangible Assets:$0.00

Liability Structure (4)

Total Liabilities:12,388,619,000.00

Current Liabilities:1,692,506,000.00

Long Term Debt:$10.42B

Short Term Debt:$62.64M

Equity & Capital (3)

Equity:$2.82B

Retained Earnings:-$961.79M

Common Stock:480,000,000.00

Working Capital Items (3)

Accounts Receivable:0.00

Inventory:0.00

Accounts Payable:1,363,705,000.00

Special Items (2)

Contract Liabilities:0.00

Stock Based Compensation:5,449,000.00

C. Cash Flow Analysis

Operating Activities (2)

-$211.41M-$5.46B

Investment Activities (2)

Investing Cash Flow:-$1.18B

Capital Expenditures Ttm:5,253,510,000.00

Financing Activities (3)

Financing Cash Flow:$1.05B

Dividends Paid Ttm:0.00

Stock Repurchase:18,000.00

Capital Transactions (3)

Common Stock Issuance:0.00

Long Term Debt Issuance:$817.00M

Long Term Debt Repayments:$0.00

Non-Cash Items (1)

Depreciation Amortization Ttm:16,930,000.00

DIVISION III: OPERATIONAL METRICS

A. Per Share Analysis

Earnings Per Share (3)

EPS (Basic TTM):-1.36

-$1.36

Earnings Per Share Ttm:-$1.39

Revenue & Cash Per Share (1)

Operating Cash Flow Per Share:-$0.64

Book Value & Capital (2)

Book Value Per Share:$10.63

Cash Per Share:0.32

Dividend Policy (1)

Dividend Payout Ratio:-999.00x

B. Operational Efficiency

Asset Utilization (1)

Working Capital Turnover Ttm:-999.00x

Receivables Management (2)

Receivables Turnover Ttm:-999.00x

Days Sales Outstanding Ttm:-999.00

Inventory Management (2)

Inventory Turnover Ttm:-999.00x

Days Inventory Outstanding Ttm:-999.00

Payables & Cash Cycle (2)

Days Payable Outstanding:-999.00

Cash Conversion Cycle:-999.00

C. Quality & Risk Metrics

Financial Quality Scores (2)

Financial Strength Score:0.00

Quality Score:5.00

Market Metrics (2)

Beta:0.00x

Volatility Category:unknown

DIVISION IV: INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

A. Value Investment Framework

Owner Earnings Analysis (1)

-$223.41M

Damodaran Growth Analysis (2)

Reinvestment Rate:-2,834.3%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):36.6%

B. Log-Linear Regression Growth Analysis

Growth Rates (Log-Linear Regression) (1)

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-2.1%

Other Growth Rates (1)

Book Value Growth Rate (Linear):100.0%

C. Company Profile & Context

Corporate Information (6)

Symbol:NEXT

Company Name:NextDecade Corp

Sector:Utilities

Industry:Natural Gas Transmisison & Distribution

Exchange:NASDAQ

Country:United States

Market Classification (3)

Market Cap Category:N/A

Price Category:low

Volume Category:N/A

Share Structure (3)

Shares Outstanding:265.04M

Shares Outstanding Basic:265.04M

Shares Outstanding Diluted:265.39M

Data Processing Info (3)

Processing Version:v3.0

Last Updated:2026-08-31 05:44:30 UTC

Data Timestamp:2026-08-31T05:44:30.867579