Healthcare • NYSE
According to Zyberno, WEST PHARMACEUTICAL SERVICES, INC. (WST) is not a buy — GOOD BUSINESS (67/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -14.1% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, WEST PHARMACEUTICAL SERVICES, INC. (WST) trades at $346.09 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $56.95 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $541.20M TTM, projected at -9.8% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -14.1% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (19.1%) and reinvestment rate (20.5%), the business can fundamentally grow at 3.9% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 18.0%. This places WST in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -37.1% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, WST generated $541.20M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $297.60M returned via share buybacks, $61.80M paid as dividends, $257.30M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 20.5%. Owner Earnings have declined at 9.8% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.