Industrial • NYSE
According to Zyberno, WESTINGHOUSE AIR BRAKE TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION (WAB) is not a buy — AVERAGE BUSINESS (56/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -70.3% and a Brina Gap of -3.3% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, WESTINGHOUSE AIR BRAKE TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION (WAB) trades at $297.28 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $174.57 — a -70.3% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $1.51B TTM, projected at 10.0% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -3.3% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (8.4%) and reinvestment rate (151.3%), the business can fundamentally grow at 12.8% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 16.0%. This places WAB in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -1.1% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, WAB generated $1.51B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $242.00M returned via share buybacks, $192.00M paid as dividends, $262.00M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 151.3%. Owner Earnings have grown at 10.0% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.