Energy • NYSE
According to Zyberno, Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) shows a Value Trap signal — AVERAGE BUSINESS (53/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +63.1%, but a Brina Gap of -7.4% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) trades at $17.19 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $46.61 — a +63.1% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $176.88M TTM, projected at -1.8% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -7.4% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (5.8%) and reinvestment rate (0.0%), the business can fundamentally grow at 0.0% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 7.4%. This places VTS in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 19.9% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, VTS generated $176.88M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $89.58M paid as dividends, $6.00K invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 0.0%. Owner Earnings have declined at 1.8% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.