Financial Services • NYSE
According to Zyberno, Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) shows a Value Trap signal — WEAK BUSINESS (43/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +32.5%, but a Brina Gap of -40.9% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) trades at $38.20 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $56.61 — a +32.5% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $429.90M TTM, projected at 14.9% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -40.9% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (0.6%) and reinvestment rate (-380.4%), the business can fundamentally grow at -2.3% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 38.6%. This places VNO in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 24.3% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, VNO generated $429.90M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $79.90M returned via share buybacks, $141.10M paid as dividends. Reinvestment rate: -380.4%. Owner Earnings have grown at 14.9% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.