NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, VINCE HOLDING CORP. (VNCE) shows a Value Trap signal — WEAK BUSINESS (33/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +31.9%, but a Brina Gap of -2.2% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, VINCE HOLDING CORP. (VNCE) trades at $6.84 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $10.04 — a +31.9% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $4.15M TTM, projected at 36.6% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -2.2% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (8.2%) and reinvestment rate (10.4%), the business can fundamentally grow at 0.9% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 3.1%. This places VNCE in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 32.4% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, VNCE generated $4.15M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $3.08M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 10.4%. Owner Earnings have grown at 36.6% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.