Consumer Staples • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, VILLAGE SUPER MARKET, INC. (VLGEA) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (47/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of +2.8% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, VILLAGE SUPER MARKET, INC. (VLGEA) trades at $44.01 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $19.93 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $56.10M TTM, projected at -19.2% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of +2.8% strengthens the case: based on the company's ROIC (8.9%) and reinvestment rate (39.3%), the business can fundamentally grow at 3.5% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 0.7%. This places VLGEA in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -31.0% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, VLGEA generated $56.10M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $13.32M paid as dividends, $56.01M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 39.3%. Owner Earnings have declined at 19.2% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.