Financial Services • NYSE
According to Zyberno, US BANCORP \DE\ (USB) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (42/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -14.6% and a Brina Gap of -5.6% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, US BANCORP \DE\ (USB) trades at $62.40 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $54.43 — a -14.6% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $9.11B TTM, projected at -5.4% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -5.6% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (8.4%) and reinvestment rate (-21.0%), the business can fundamentally grow at -1.8% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 3.9%. This places USB in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -7.9% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, USB generated $9.11B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $276.00M returned via share buybacks, $3.20B paid as dividends, $2.32B invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -21.0%. Owner Earnings have declined at 5.4% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.