Materials • NYSE
According to Zyberno, Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) shows a Value Trap signal — GREAT BUSINESS (78/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +52.1%, but a Brina Gap of -9.7% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) trades at $123.24 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $257.37 — a +52.1% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $1.83B TTM, projected at 18.3% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -9.7% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (64.1%) and reinvestment rate (-6.7%), the business can fundamentally grow at -4.3% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 5.4%. This places TPR in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 37.0% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, TPR generated $1.83B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $302.70M returned via share buybacks, $326.10M paid as dividends, $166.00M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -6.7%. Owner Earnings have grown at 18.3% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.