Technology • NYSE
According to Zyberno, TENNANT CO (TNC) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (39/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -12.6% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, TENNANT CO (TNC) trades at $69.58 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $5.55 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $16.30M TTM, projected at -15.0% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -12.6% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (6.3%) and reinvestment rate (-30.6%), the business can fundamentally grow at -1.9% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 10.7%. This places TNC in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -48.7% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, TNC generated $16.30M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $60.00M returned via share buybacks, $21.70M paid as dividends, $17.90M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -30.6%. Owner Earnings have declined at 15.0% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.