ZYBERNO
Stock Report
Updated Sep 1, 2026

Saga Communications, Inc (SGA)

Technology • NASDAQ

$8.81

Professional Investment Analysis

ZYBERNO SCORE
Is it a great business? Is it getting better?
33.0/100
WEAK BUSINESS
Saga Communications, Inc (SGA) scores 33/100 — weak fundamentals with mixed indicators requiring careful analysis before acting.
📊 How is the Zyberno Score calculated? +
VALUATION SIGNAL
MARGIN OF SAFETY
Is this stock cheap or expensive relative to what the business has historically generated for owners?
-100.0%
Overvalued
Growth gap unavailable — insufficient data for reverse DCF calculation.
🎯 Expected Annual Return
-46.6%
Margin of Safety convergence — your return if the market re-prices to intrinsic value (5-yr annualised)
0.9%
Yield + growth — what the business alone earns you, even if the market never re-rates
💰 How is Margin of Safety calculated? +
📈 How is Brina Gap calculated? +

Critical Financial Health Indicators

Return on Equity (Profitability):CRITICAL (-5.8%)
Debt-to-Equity (Solvency Risk):EXCELLENT (0.07x)
Operating Margin (Operational Efficiency):CRITICAL (-12.3%)
Return on Capital (Capital Efficiency):CRITICAL (-7.9%)
📊 Valuation Trilogy
Three interconnected metrics for complete valuation analysis
Click any metric for full methodology and detailed analysis
Zyberno's Verdict

Saga Communications, Inc (SGA) stock report — Zyberno Score 33/100 (WEAK BUSINESS), Margin of Safety -100.0%, -47% expected annual return. Full financial analysis on Zyberno.

According to Zyberno's DCF model, Saga Communications, Inc (SGA) trades at $8.81 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $1.15 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $1.43M TTM, projected at -18.1% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -46.6% annually.

Over the trailing twelve months, SGA generated $1.43M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $6.39M paid as dividends, $3.12M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 19.3%. Owner Earnings have declined at 18.1% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.

DIVISION I: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A. Market Valuation

Market Price & Capitalization (2)

Current Price:8.81
Market Cap:$53.70M

Valuation Multiples (3)

P/B Ratio:0.36x
P/S Ratio:0.52x
Peg Ratio:-999.00x

Enterprise Metrics (2)

Enterprise Value:$45.32M
Pfcf Ratio:42.79x

Price Action & Momentum (3)

Momentum Percentile:20 / 100
% of 52-Week High:66.8%
B. Profitability Assessment

Return Metrics (5)

ROA:-4.4%
Reinvestment Rate:19.3%
Fundamental Growth Rate (g):-1.5%

Margin Analysis (3)

Operating Margin Ttm:-12.3%
Net Margin Ttm:-8.5%
Ebitda Margin:-7.6%

TTM Performance (2)

Operating Margin Ttm:-12.3%
Net Margin Ttm:-8.5%

Yield Metrics (3)

Earnings Yield:-$14.21
Owner Earnings Yield:$2.42
Dividend Yield:10.8%
C. Log-Linear Regression Growth Trends

Earnings Surprise (SUE) (3)

EPS Surprise vs Expected:715.4%
Latest Earnings Filed:2026-08-14

Revenue Growth (Linear) (1)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):-3.3%

Earnings Growth (Linear) (1)

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-27.9%

Cash Flow Growth (Linear) (2)

Free Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-18.1%
Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-30.4%

Operating Growth (Linear) (1)

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):-26.2%
D. Financial Stability

Liquidity Ratios (3)

Current Ratio:2.24x
Quick Ratio:2.24x
Cash Ratio:0.89x

Leverage Analysis (3)

Debt To Equity Ttm:0.07x
Debt-to-Equity Ratio:0.07x
Debt To Ebitda:-999.00x

Coverage Ratios (2)

Interest Coverage Ratio:-27.40x
Times Interest Earned:-27.40

Capital Structure (4)

Working Capital:25,592,000.00
Cash And Cash Equivalents:18,378,000.00
Long Term Debt:$5.00M
Net Debt:-$8.38M
DIVISION II: FINANCIAL STATEMENTS ANALYSIS
A. Income Statement Analysis

Revenue Components (2)

Revenue TTM: $103.94M
Linear Growth: -3.3%
📊 Click to view full SGA Revenue analysis & methodology →
Cost Of Revenue Ttm:$0.00

Profitability Breakdown (2)

$0.00
Operating income TTM: -$12.79M
Linear Growth: -26.2%
📊 Click to view full SGA Operating Income analysis & methodology →

Bottom Line Performance (3)

Net income TTM: -$8.89M
Linear Growth: -27.9%
📊 Click to view full SGA Net Income analysis & methodology →
Income Before Tax:-$11.78M
Ebitda Ttm:-7,851,000.00

Operating Expenses (5)

Operating Expenses:93,040,000.00
R And D Expense:0.00
Sga Expense:11,733,000.00
Income Tax Expense:-$2.89M
Interest Expense:403,000.00

Expense Ratios (3)

R And D To Revenue Percentage:0.0%
Sga To Revenue Percentage:44.4%
Ebitda Margin:-7.6%
B. Balance Sheet Analysis

Asset Composition (5)

Total Assets:$196.81M
Current Assets:$46.24M
Ppe Net:140,679,000.00
Goodwill:0.00
Intangible Assets:$754.00K

Liability Structure (4)

Total Liabilities:48,578,000.00
Current Liabilities:20,643,000.00
Long Term Debt:$5.00M
Short Term Debt:$5.00M

Equity & Capital (3)

Equity:$148.23M
Retained Earnings:$109.27M
Common Stock:83,000.00

Working Capital Items (3)

Accounts Receivable:13,208,000.00
Inventory:0.00
Accounts Payable:2,861,000.00

Special Items (2)

Contract Liabilities:1,009,000.00
Stock Based Compensation:0.00
C. Cash Flow Analysis

Operating Activities (2)

Operating cash flow TTM: $4.51M
Linear Growth: -30.4%
Free cash flow TTM: $1.38M
Linear Growth: -18.1%
📊 Click to view full SGA Free Cash Flow analysis & methodology →

Investment Activities (2)

Investing Cash Flow:-$261.00K
Capital Expenditures Ttm:3,124,000.00

Financing Activities (3)

Financing Cash Flow:-$1.60M
Dividends Paid Ttm:6,394,000.00
Stock Repurchase:0.00

Capital Transactions (3)

Common Stock Issuance:0.00
Long Term Debt Issuance:$5.00M
Long Term Debt Repayments:$0.00

Non-Cash Items (1)

Depreciation Amortization Ttm:4,943,000.00
DIVISION III: OPERATIONAL METRICS
A. Per Share Analysis

Earnings Per Share (3)

EPS (Basic TTM):-1.38
Eps diluted TTM: -$1.38
Linear Growth: -29.0%
📊 Click to view full SGA EPS analysis & methodology →
Earnings Per Share Ttm:-$1.46

Revenue & Cash Per Share (3)

Sales Per Share Ttm:17.05
Operating Cash Flow Per Share:$0.90
Fcf Per Share Ttm:0.23

Book Value & Capital (2)

Book Value Per Share:$24.32
Cash Per Share:3.02

Dividend Policy (1)

Dividend Payout Ratio:-999.00x
B. Operational Efficiency

Asset Utilization (2)

Asset Turnover Ttm:0.51x
Working Capital Turnover Ttm:4.06x

Receivables Management (2)

Receivables Turnover Ttm:7.87x
Days Sales Outstanding Ttm:46.38

Inventory Management (2)

Inventory Turnover Ttm:-999.00x
Days Inventory Outstanding Ttm:-999.00

Payables & Cash Cycle (2)

Days Payable Outstanding:10.05
Cash Conversion Cycle:-962.67
C. Quality & Risk Metrics

Financial Quality Scores (2)

Financial Strength Score:100.00
Quality Score:50.00

Market Metrics (2)

Beta:0.00x
Volatility Category:unknown
DIVISION IV: INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
A. Value Investment Framework

Owner Earnings Analysis (3)

Owner earnings TTM: $1.43M
Linear Growth: -18.1%
📊 Click to view full SGA Owner Earnings analysis & methodology →
Owner Earnings Per Share:$0.23
Owner Earnings Yield:$2.42

Growth Assessment (1)

Owner Earnings Growth Rate:-$18.12

Damodaran Growth Analysis (2)

Reinvestment Rate:19.3%
Fundamental Growth Rate (g):-1.5%

Intrinsic Value Models (1)

Return Scenarios (2)

Investment Assessment (1)

Buffett Assessment:Overvalued
B. Log-Linear Regression Growth Analysis

Growth Rates (Log-Linear Regression) (3)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):-3.3%
Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-27.9%
Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):-26.2%

Cash Flow Growth Rates (2)

Free Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-18.1%
Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-30.4%

Other Growth Rates (2)

Book Value Growth Rate (Linear):-6.4%
Owner Earnings Growth Rate:-$18.12
C. Company Profile & Context

Corporate Information (6)

Symbol:SGA
Company Name:Saga Communications, Inc
Sector:Technology
Industry:Radio Broadcasting Stations
Exchange:NASDAQ
Country:United States

Market Classification (3)

Market Cap Category:N/A
Price Category:low
Volume Category:N/A

Share Structure (3)

Shares Outstanding:6.10M
Shares Outstanding Basic:6.10M
Shares Outstanding Diluted:6.10M

Data Processing Info (3)

Processing Version:v3.0
Last Updated:2026-09-01 01:15:44 UTC
Data Timestamp:2026-08-20T07:01:39.398803
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