Materials • NYSE
According to Zyberno, SOUTHERN COPPER CORP/ (SCCO) is not a buy — GREAT BUSINESS (92/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of +1.4% and a Brina Gap of -10.2% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, SOUTHERN COPPER CORP/ (SCCO) trades at $216.28 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $219.44 — a +1.4% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $5.85B TTM, projected at 29.5% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -10.2% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (39.0%) and reinvestment rate (7.7%), the business can fundamentally grow at 3.0% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 13.2%. This places SCCO in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 20.3% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, SCCO generated $5.85B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $3.02B paid as dividends, $1.64B invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 7.7%. Owner Earnings have grown at 29.5% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.