Consumer Discretionary • NYSE
According to Zyberno, REVOLVE GROUP, INC. (RVLV) is not a buy — AVERAGE BUSINESS (56/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -81.1% and a Brina Gap of -7.2% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, REVOLVE GROUP, INC. (RVLV) trades at $22.91 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $12.65 — a -81.1% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $58.74M TTM, projected at 4.9% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -7.2% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (19.7%) and reinvestment rate (12.2%), the business can fundamentally grow at 2.4% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 9.6%. This places RVLV in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -6.8% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, RVLV generated $58.74M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $14.58M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 12.2%. Owner Earnings have grown at 4.9% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.