Energy • NYSE
According to Zyberno, RANGER ENERGY SERVICES, INC. (RNGR) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (43/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -82.0% and a Brina Gap of -2.9% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, RANGER ENERGY SERVICES, INC. (RNGR) trades at $16.55 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $9.09 — a -82.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $19.90M TTM, projected at -2.4% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -2.9% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (4.5%) and reinvestment rate (220.9%), the business can fundamentally grow at 9.9% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 12.8%. This places RNGR in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -14.1% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, RNGR generated $19.90M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $500.00K returned via share buybacks, $4.20M paid as dividends, $37.20M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 220.9%. Owner Earnings have declined at 2.4% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.