Financial Services • NYSE
According to Zyberno, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. (RHP) is not a buy — AVERAGE BUSINESS (54/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of +2.2% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. (RHP) trades at $129.33 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $41.61 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $374.91M TTM, projected at -11.0% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of +2.2% strengthens the case: based on the company's ROIC (46.0%) and reinvestment rate (16.5%), the business can fundamentally grow at 7.6% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 5.4%. This places RHP in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -29.1% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, RHP generated $374.91M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $292.84M paid as dividends, $359.17M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 16.5%. Owner Earnings have declined at 11.0% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.