Healthcare • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, REPLIGEN CORP (RGEN) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (44/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -45.3% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, REPLIGEN CORP (RGEN) trades at $176.27 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $24.80 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $106.04M TTM, projected at 1.8% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -45.3% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (1.6%) and reinvestment rate (46.8%), the business can fundamentally grow at 0.7% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 46.0%. This places RGEN in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -31.2% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, RGEN generated $106.04M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $88.40K returned via share buybacks, $24.67M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 46.8%. Owner Earnings have grown at 1.8% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.