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ZYBERNO

Stock Report

Updated Aug 30, 2026

Redwire Corporation (RDW)

Industrial • NYSE

$10.87

Professional Investment Analysis

ZYBERNO SCORE →

Is it a great business? Is it getting better?

37.0/100

WEAK BUSINESS

Redwire Corporation (RDW) scores 37/100 — weak fundamentals with mixed indicators requiring careful analysis before acting.

📊 How is the Zyberno Score calculated? +

The Zyberno Score answers one question: "Is this a quality business worth owning?" It's a 0-100 investment grade that evaluates business fundamentals across four critical dimensions, based on principles from Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, and Charlie Munger.

The 4 Core Categories (25 points each):

1. PROFITABILITY (25 pts)

Metrics: ROE, ROIC, Net Margin, Operating Margin
Thresholds: ROE >20% excellent • ROIC >20% excellent • Net Margin >20% excellent • Operating Margin >25% excellent

2. FINANCIAL STRENGTH (25 pts)

Metrics: Debt-to-Equity, Current Ratio, Interest Coverage, Altman Z-Score
Thresholds: D/E <0.3 excellent • Current Ratio >2.5 excellent • Interest Coverage >10x excellent • Altman Z >3.0 safe

3. CASH FLOW QUALITY (25 pts)

Metrics: Free Cash Flow, OCF vs Net Income, FCF Margin
Thresholds: Positive & growing FCF excellent • OCF/NI >1.2x excellent (cash earnings exceed accounting)

4. GROWTH & CONSISTENCY (25 pts)

Metrics: Revenue Growth, Net Income Growth, FCF Growth, Piotroski F-Score
Thresholds: Growth via log-linear regression • Piotroski 8-9 excellent, 6-7 good

Score Interpretation:

75-100

GREAT BUSINESS

65-74

GOOD BUSINESS

50-64

AVERAGE BUSINESS

30-49

WEAK BUSINESS

0-29

POOR BUSINESS

→ View full RDW quality analysis & detailed breakdown

VALUATION SIGNAL

N/A (Requires more data)

Requires fair value calculation and current price data

💰 How is Margin of Safety calculated? +

Margin of Safety measures how much discount or premium you're paying relative to a stock's intrinsic value. It's Benjamin Graham's core principle: the larger the margin, the lower your downside risk.

Formula: (Intrinsic Value − Current Price) ÷ Intrinsic Value × 100%

How We Calculate Intrinsic Value (DCF Method):

Step 1: Calculate current Owner Earnings (OCF − Maintenance CapEx)

Step 2: Calculate company-specific growth rate using log-linear regression on 16 quarters of Owner Earnings

Step 3: Project 10 years forward using the calculated growth rate

Step 4: Discount each year's cash flow to present value using 10% discount rate

Step 5: Calculate terminal value using 3% perpetual growth rate

Step 6: Sum all discounted cash flows = Intrinsic Value

What The Percentages Mean:

+50% or more

EXCELLENT — Very undervalued

+25% to +50%

GOOD — Attractive discount

0% to +25%

FAIR — Reasonable value

0% to -25%

CAUTION — Slight premium

-25% or worse

POOR — Overvalued

"Price is what you pay, value is what you get." — Warren Buffett

→ View full RDW valuation analysis · → View full RDW Brina Gap analysis

📈 How is Brina Gap calculated? +

Brina Gap measures the difference between the growth a business can fundamentally sustain and the growth the market is already pricing in.

Formula: Fundamental Growth Rate − Market-Implied Growth Rate

The Two Components:

Fundamental Growth Rate = ROIC × Reinvestment Rate

What the business can sustainably grow at based on how much it reinvests and what return it earns on that capital. Grounded in historical financials.

Market-Implied Growth Rate = Reverse DCF

The growth rate the current Enterprise Value implicitly assumes. Calculated by back-solving a 10-year DCF model (10% WACC, 3% terminal growth) until the present value of projected cash flows equals EV.

What The Gap Means:

Gap > +5% Market Underestimates — potential upside

+2% to +5% Slight Underestimate

-2% to +2% Fairly Priced — market consensus matches fundamentals

-5% to -2% Slight Overestimate

Gap < -5% Market Overestimates — price embeds optimism fundamentals don't support

A positive gap (market underestimates) combined with a positive Margin of Safety is the strongest combined signal — the business is both cheap historically and forward economics are stronger than the price suggests.

Critical Financial Health Indicators

Return on Equity (Profitability):CRITICAL (-20.8%)

Debt-to-Equity (Solvency Risk):EXCELLENT (0.05x)

Operating Margin (Operational Efficiency):CRITICAL (-50.5%)

Return on Capital (Capital Efficiency):CRITICAL (-14.3%)

📊 Valuation Trilogy

Three interconnected metrics for complete valuation analysis

Click any metric for full methodology and detailed analysis

Zyberno's Verdict

Redwire Corporation (RDW) stock report — Zyberno Score 37/100 (WEAK BUSINESS). Full financial analysis on Zyberno.

Over the trailing twelve months, RDW generated -$155.36M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $16.44M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -82.2%.

DIVISION I: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A. Market Valuation

Market Price & Capitalization (2)

Current Price:10.87

Market Cap:$2.40B

Valuation Multiples (3)

P/B Ratio:1.47x

P/S Ratio:5.62x

Peg Ratio:-999.00x

Enterprise Metrics (1)

Enterprise Value:$1.90B

Price Action & Momentum (1)

% of 52-Week High:40.8%

B. Profitability Assessment

Return Metrics (5)

ROE:

-20.8%

📊 Click to view full RDW ROE analysis →

ROA:-15.4%

Roic:

-14.3%

📊 Click to view full RDW ROIC analysis →

Reinvestment Rate:-82.2%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):11.8%

Margin Analysis (3)

Operating Margin Ttm:-50.5%

Net Margin Ttm:-57.3%

Ebitda Margin:-39.4%

TTM Performance (3)

Gross Margin Ttm:20.1%

Operating Margin Ttm:-50.5%

Net Margin Ttm:-57.3%

Yield Metrics (2)

Earnings Yield:-$12.60

Dividend Yield:0.0%

C. Log-Linear Regression Growth Trends

Earnings Surprise (SUE) (3)

Earnings Surprise (SUE):

+2.13

📊 Click to view full RDW Earnings Surprise analysis →

EPS Surprise vs Expected:86.6%

Latest Earnings Filed:2026-08-06

Revenue Growth (Linear) (1)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):23.3%

Cash Flow Growth (Linear) (2)

Free Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):59.9%

Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):42.8%

D. Financial Stability

Liquidity Ratios (3)

Current Ratio:3.92x

Quick Ratio:3.48x

Cash Ratio:2.87x

Leverage Analysis (3)

Debt To Equity Ttm:0.05x

Debt-to-Equity Ratio:0.05x

Debt To Ebitda:-999.00x

Coverage Ratios (2)

Interest Coverage Ratio:-27.94x

Times Interest Earned:-27.94

Capital Structure (4)

Working Capital:566,922,000.00

Cash And Cash Equivalents:556,967,000.00

Long Term Debt:$43.56M

Net Debt:-$500.84M

DIVISION II: FINANCIAL STATEMENTS ANALYSIS

A. Income Statement Analysis

Revenue Components (2)

Revenue TTM: $426.27M

Linear Growth: 23.3%

📊 Click to view full RDW Revenue analysis & methodology →

Cost Of Revenue Ttm:$340.61M

Profitability Breakdown (2)

Gross profit TTM: $85.66M

Linear Growth: 17.3%

📊 Click to view full RDW Gross Profit analysis & methodology →

-$215.26M

Bottom Line Performance (3)

-$244.10M

Income Before Tax:-$233.82M

Ebitda Ttm:-168,017,000.00

Operating Expenses (5)

Operating Expenses:0.00

R And D Expense:42,357,000.00

Sga Expense:223,033,000.00

Income Tax Expense:-$22.51M

Interest Expense:8,220,000.00

Expense Ratios (3)

R And D To Revenue Percentage:36.2%

Sga To Revenue Percentage:190.5%

Ebitda Margin:-39.4%

B. Balance Sheet Analysis

Asset Composition (5)

Total Assets:$1.94B

Current Assets:$761.16M

Ppe Net:0.00

Goodwill:772,170,000.00

Intangible Assets:$319.10M

Liability Structure (4)

Total Liabilities:313,487,000.00

Current Liabilities:194,238,000.00

Long Term Debt:$43.56M

Short Term Debt:$12.57M

Equity & Capital (3)

Equity:$1.63B

Retained Earnings:-$739.24M

Common Stock:500,000,000.00

Working Capital Items (3)

Accounts Receivable:27,495,000.00

Inventory:85,364,000.00

Accounts Payable:54,158,000.00

Special Items (2)

Contract Liabilities:84,970,000.00

Stock Based Compensation:3,900,000.00

C. Cash Flow Analysis

Operating Activities (2)

Operating cash flow TTM: -$138.92M

Linear Growth: 42.8%

Free cash flow TTM: -$155.36M

Linear Growth: 59.9%

📊 Click to view full RDW Free Cash Flow analysis & methodology →

Investment Activities (2)

Investing Cash Flow:-$6.04M

Capital Expenditures Ttm:16,444,000.00

Financing Activities (3)

Financing Cash Flow:$63.08M

Dividends Paid Ttm:0.00

Stock Repurchase:0.00

Capital Transactions (3)

Common Stock Issuance:65,318,000.00

Long Term Debt Issuance:$89.80M

Long Term Debt Repayments:$88.08M

Non-Cash Items (1)

Depreciation Amortization Ttm:47,243,000.00

DIVISION III: OPERATIONAL METRICS

A. Per Share Analysis

Earnings Per Share (3)

EPS (Basic TTM):-1.37

-$1.37

Earnings Per Share Ttm:-$1.11

Revenue & Cash Per Share (2)

Sales Per Share Ttm:1.93

Operating Cash Flow Per Share:-$0.80

Book Value & Capital (2)

Book Value Per Share:$7.39

Cash Per Share:2.53

Dividend Policy (1)

Dividend Payout Ratio:-999.00x

B. Operational Efficiency

Asset Utilization (2)

Asset Turnover Ttm:0.27x

Working Capital Turnover Ttm:0.75x

Receivables Management (2)

Receivables Turnover Ttm:15.50x

Days Sales Outstanding Ttm:23.54

Inventory Management (2)

Inventory Turnover Ttm:3.99x

Days Inventory Outstanding Ttm:91.48

Payables & Cash Cycle (2)

Days Payable Outstanding:58.04

Cash Conversion Cycle:56.98

C. Quality & Risk Metrics

Financial Quality Scores (2)

Financial Strength Score:100.00

Quality Score:40.00

Market Metrics (2)

Beta:0.00x

Volatility Category:unknown

DIVISION IV: INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

A. Value Investment Framework

Owner Earnings Analysis (1)

-$155.36M

Damodaran Growth Analysis (2)

Reinvestment Rate:-82.2%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):11.8%

B. Log-Linear Regression Growth Analysis

Growth Rates (Log-Linear Regression) (1)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):23.3%

Cash Flow Growth Rates (2)

Free Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):59.9%

Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):42.8%

Other Growth Rates (2)

Gross Profit Growth Rate (Linear):17.3%

Book Value Growth Rate (Linear):100.0%

C. Company Profile & Context

Corporate Information (6)

Symbol:RDW

Company Name:Redwire Corporation

Sector:Industrial

Industry:Aerospace & Defense

Exchange:NYSE

Country:United States

Market Classification (3)

Market Cap Category:N/A

Price Category:medium

Volume Category:N/A

Share Structure (3)

Shares Outstanding:220.47M

Shares Outstanding Basic:220.47M

Shares Outstanding Diluted:220.47M

Data Processing Info (3)

Processing Version:v3.0

Last Updated:2026-08-30 19:35:06 UTC

Data Timestamp:2026-08-30T19:35:06.213951