Technology • NYSE
According to Zyberno, Reddit, Inc. (RDDT) is not a buy — GREAT BUSINESS (94/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of +6.6% and a Brina Gap of -16.0% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Reddit, Inc. (RDDT) trades at $153.95 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $164.80 — a +6.6% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $1.02B TTM, projected at 100.0% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -16.0% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (42.3%) and reinvestment rate (-1.2%), the business can fundamentally grow at -0.5% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 15.5%. This places RDDT in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 21.6% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, RDDT generated $1.02B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $234.59M returned via share buybacks, $7.45M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -1.2%. Owner Earnings have grown at 100.0% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.