Financial Services • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. (RBKB) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (42/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -28.6% and a Brina Gap of -1.6% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. (RBKB) trades at $12.72 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $9.89 — a -28.6% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $9.88M TTM, projected at -2.2% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -1.6% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (7.7%) and reinvestment rate (-4.6%), the business can fundamentally grow at -0.4% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 1.3%. This places RBKB in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -7.1% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, RBKB generated $9.88M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $220.00K returned via share buybacks, $1.37M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -4.6%. Owner Earnings have declined at 2.2% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.