Healthcare • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, OPTION CARE HEALTH, INC. (OPCH) is not a buy — AVERAGE BUSINESS (52/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -3.0% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, OPTION CARE HEALTH, INC. (OPCH) trades at $23.90 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $11.53 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $212.57M TTM, projected at -7.2% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -3.0% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (10.5%) and reinvestment rate (37.0%), the business can fundamentally grow at 3.9% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 6.9%. This places OPCH in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -19.8% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, OPCH generated $212.57M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $92.60M returned via share buybacks, $40.98M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 37.0%. Owner Earnings have declined at 7.2% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.