Technology • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) is not a buy — AVERAGE BUSINESS (56/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -4.7% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) trades at $225.86 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $108.71 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $2.71B TTM, projected at -3.6% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -4.7% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (15.0%) and reinvestment rate (24.0%), the business can fundamentally grow at 3.6% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 8.3%. This places NXPI in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -16.7% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, NXPI generated $2.71B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $102.00M returned via share buybacks, $1.02B paid as dividends, $337.00M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 24.0%. Owner Earnings have declined at 3.6% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.