Materials • NYSE
According to Zyberno, NUCOR CORP (NUE) is not a buy — AVERAGE BUSINESS (54/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of +1.3% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, NUCOR CORP (NUE) trades at $252.37 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $49.10 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $2.51B TTM, projected at -39.7% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of +1.3% strengthens the case: based on the company's ROIC (11.8%) and reinvestment rate (68.0%), the business can fundamentally grow at 8.1% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 6.7%. This places NUE in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -42.3% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, NUE generated $2.51B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $125.00M returned via share buybacks, $512.00M paid as dividends, $3.22B invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 68.0%. Owner Earnings have declined at 39.7% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.