Technology • NYSE
According to Zyberno, The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (46/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -15.3% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) trades at $19.59 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $1.17 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $1.80M TTM, projected at 13.8% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -15.3% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (3.1%) and reinvestment rate (-46.3%), the business can fundamentally grow at -1.4% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 13.9%. This places MTW in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -35.3% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, MTW generated $1.80M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $34.90M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -46.3%. Owner Earnings have grown at 13.8% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.