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ZYBERNO

Stock Report

Updated Sep 1, 2026

MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. (MSAI)

NASDAQ

$5.15

Professional Investment Analysis

ZYBERNO SCORE →

Is it a great business? Is it getting better?

14.0/100

POOR BUSINESS

MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. (MSAI) scores 14/100 — concerning metrics indicating significant structural or financial risks.

📊 How is the Zyberno Score calculated? +

The Zyberno Score answers one question: "Is this a quality business worth owning?" It's a 0-100 investment grade that evaluates business fundamentals across four critical dimensions, based on principles from Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, and Charlie Munger.

The 4 Core Categories (25 points each):

1. PROFITABILITY (25 pts)

Metrics: ROE, ROIC, Net Margin, Operating Margin
Thresholds: ROE >20% excellent • ROIC >20% excellent • Net Margin >20% excellent • Operating Margin >25% excellent

2. FINANCIAL STRENGTH (25 pts)

Metrics: Debt-to-Equity, Current Ratio, Interest Coverage, Altman Z-Score
Thresholds: D/E <0.3 excellent • Current Ratio >2.5 excellent • Interest Coverage >10x excellent • Altman Z >3.0 safe

3. CASH FLOW QUALITY (25 pts)

Metrics: Free Cash Flow, OCF vs Net Income, FCF Margin
Thresholds: Positive & growing FCF excellent • OCF/NI >1.2x excellent (cash earnings exceed accounting)

4. GROWTH & CONSISTENCY (25 pts)

Metrics: Revenue Growth, Net Income Growth, FCF Growth, Piotroski F-Score
Thresholds: Growth via log-linear regression • Piotroski 8-9 excellent, 6-7 good

Score Interpretation:

75-100

GREAT BUSINESS

65-74

GOOD BUSINESS

50-64

AVERAGE BUSINESS

30-49

WEAK BUSINESS

0-29

POOR BUSINESS

→ View full MSAI quality analysis & detailed breakdown

VALUATION SIGNAL

N/A (Requires more data)

Requires fair value calculation and current price data

💰 How is Margin of Safety calculated? +

Margin of Safety measures how much discount or premium you're paying relative to a stock's intrinsic value. It's Benjamin Graham's core principle: the larger the margin, the lower your downside risk.

Formula: (Intrinsic Value − Current Price) ÷ Intrinsic Value × 100%

How We Calculate Intrinsic Value (DCF Method):

Step 1: Calculate current Owner Earnings (OCF − Maintenance CapEx)

Step 2: Calculate company-specific growth rate using log-linear regression on 16 quarters of Owner Earnings

Step 3: Project 10 years forward using the calculated growth rate

Step 4: Discount each year's cash flow to present value using 10% discount rate

Step 5: Calculate terminal value using 3% perpetual growth rate

Step 6: Sum all discounted cash flows = Intrinsic Value

What The Percentages Mean:

+50% or more

EXCELLENT — Very undervalued

+25% to +50%

GOOD — Attractive discount

0% to +25%

FAIR — Reasonable value

0% to -25%

CAUTION — Slight premium

-25% or worse

POOR — Overvalued

"Price is what you pay, value is what you get." — Warren Buffett

→ View full MSAI valuation analysis · → View full MSAI Brina Gap analysis

📈 How is Brina Gap calculated? +

Brina Gap measures the difference between the growth a business can fundamentally sustain and the growth the market is already pricing in.

Formula: Fundamental Growth Rate − Market-Implied Growth Rate

The Two Components:

Fundamental Growth Rate = ROIC × Reinvestment Rate

What the business can sustainably grow at based on how much it reinvests and what return it earns on that capital. Grounded in historical financials.

Market-Implied Growth Rate = Reverse DCF

The growth rate the current Enterprise Value implicitly assumes. Calculated by back-solving a 10-year DCF model (10% WACC, 3% terminal growth) until the present value of projected cash flows equals EV.

What The Gap Means:

Gap > +5% Market Underestimates — potential upside

+2% to +5% Slight Underestimate

-2% to +2% Fairly Priced — market consensus matches fundamentals

-5% to -2% Slight Overestimate

Gap < -5% Market Overestimates — price embeds optimism fundamentals don't support

A positive gap (market underestimates) combined with a positive Margin of Safety is the strongest combined signal — the business is both cheap historically and forward economics are stronger than the price suggests.

Critical Financial Health Indicators

Return on Equity (Profitability):CRITICAL (-36.1%)

Debt-to-Equity (Solvency Risk):EXCELLENT (0.00x)

Operating Margin (Operational Efficiency):CRITICAL (-147.8%)

Return on Capital (Capital Efficiency):CRITICAL (-90.5%)

📊 Valuation Trilogy

Three interconnected metrics for complete valuation analysis

Click any metric for full methodology and detailed analysis

Zyberno's Verdict

MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. (MSAI) stock report — Zyberno Score 14/100 (POOR BUSINESS). Full financial analysis on Zyberno.

Over the trailing twelve months, MSAI generated -$7.67M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $1.32M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -4.8%.

DIVISION I: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A. Market Valuation

Market Price & Capitalization (2)

Current Price:5.15

Market Cap:$10.66M

Valuation Multiples (3)

P/B Ratio:0.37x

P/S Ratio:1.70x

Peg Ratio:-999.00x

Enterprise Metrics (1)

Enterprise Value:-$10.15M

Price Action & Momentum (1)

% of 52-Week High:5.4%

B. Profitability Assessment

Return Metrics (5)

ROE:

-36.1%

📊 Click to view full MSAI ROE analysis →

ROA:-31.3%

Roic:

-90.5%

📊 Click to view full MSAI ROIC analysis →

Reinvestment Rate:-4.8%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):4.3%

Margin Analysis (3)

Operating Margin Ttm:-147.8%

Net Margin Ttm:-141.7%

Ebitda Margin:-125.5%

TTM Performance (2)

Operating Margin Ttm:-147.8%

Net Margin Ttm:-141.7%

Yield Metrics (2)

Earnings Yield:-$47.70

Dividend Yield:0.0%

C. Log-Linear Regression Growth Trends

Revenue Growth (Linear) (1)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):-10.9%

D. Financial Stability

Liquidity Ratios (3)

Current Ratio:7.19x

Quick Ratio:6.37x

Cash Ratio:5.19x

Leverage Analysis (3)

Debt To Equity Ttm:0.00x

Debt-to-Equity Ratio:0.00x

Debt To Ebitda:-999.00x

Coverage Ratios (2)

Interest Coverage Ratio:-190.65x

Times Interest Earned:-190.65

Capital Structure (4)

Working Capital:25,057,000.00

Cash And Cash Equivalents:21,005,000.00

Long Term Debt:$138.00K

Net Debt:-$20.81M

DIVISION II: FINANCIAL STATEMENTS ANALYSIS

A. Income Statement Analysis

Revenue Components (2)

Revenue TTM: $6.27M

Linear Growth: -10.9%

📊 Click to view full MSAI Revenue analysis & methodology →

Cost Of Revenue Ttm:$0.00

Profitability Breakdown (2)

$0.00-$9.27M

Bottom Line Performance (3)

-$8.89M

Income Before Tax:-$8.92M

Ebitda Ttm:-7,870,000.00

Operating Expenses (5)

Operating Expenses:12,334,000.00

R And D Expense:0.00

Sga Expense:10,256,000.00

Income Tax Expense:-$31.00K

Interest Expense:63,000.00

Expense Ratios (3)

R And D To Revenue Percentage:0.0%

Sga To Revenue Percentage:605.1%

Ebitda Margin:-125.5%

B. Balance Sheet Analysis

Asset Composition (5)

Total Assets:$33.35M

Current Assets:$29.10M

Ppe Net:3,759,000.00

Goodwill:0.00

Intangible Assets:$0.00

Liability Structure (4)

Total Liabilities:4,857,000.00

Current Liabilities:4,046,000.00

Long Term Debt:$138.00K

Short Term Debt:$59.00K

Equity & Capital (3)

Equity:$28.49M

Retained Earnings:-$71.27M

Common Stock:300,000,000.00

Working Capital Items (3)

Accounts Receivable:3,624,000.00

Inventory:3,332,000.00

Accounts Payable:258,000.00

Special Items (2)

Contract Liabilities:2,950,000.00

Stock Based Compensation:187,000.00

C. Cash Flow Analysis

Operating Activities (2)

-$6.53M-$7.85M

Investment Activities (2)

Investing Cash Flow:-$101.00K

Capital Expenditures Ttm:1,317,000.00

Financing Activities (3)

Financing Cash Flow:-$24.00K

Dividends Paid Ttm:0.00

Stock Repurchase:0.00

Capital Transactions (3)

Common Stock Issuance:4,657,000.00

Long Term Debt Issuance:$0.00

Long Term Debt Repayments:$0.00

Non-Cash Items (1)

Depreciation Amortization Ttm:1,401,000.00

DIVISION III: OPERATIONAL METRICS

A. Per Share Analysis

Earnings Per Share (3)

EPS (Basic TTM):-2.49

-$2.49

Earnings Per Share Ttm:-$4.29

Revenue & Cash Per Share (2)

Sales Per Share Ttm:3.03

Operating Cash Flow Per Share:-$3.88

Book Value & Capital (2)

Book Value Per Share:$13.77

Cash Per Share:10.15

Dividend Policy (1)

Dividend Payout Ratio:-999.00x

B. Operational Efficiency

Asset Utilization (2)

Asset Turnover Ttm:0.22x

Working Capital Turnover Ttm:0.25x

Receivables Management (2)

Receivables Turnover Ttm:1.73x

Days Sales Outstanding Ttm:210.93

Inventory Management (2)

Inventory Turnover Ttm:1.88x

Days Inventory Outstanding Ttm:193.94

Payables & Cash Cycle (2)

Days Payable Outstanding:15.02

Cash Conversion Cycle:389.85

C. Quality & Risk Metrics

Financial Quality Scores (2)

Financial Strength Score:100.00

Quality Score:40.00

Market Metrics (2)

Beta:0.00x

Volatility Category:unknown

DIVISION IV: INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

A. Value Investment Framework

Owner Earnings Analysis (1)

-$7.67M

Damodaran Growth Analysis (2)

Reinvestment Rate:-4.8%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):4.3%

B. Log-Linear Regression Growth Analysis

Growth Rates (Log-Linear Regression) (1)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):-10.9%

Other Growth Rates (1)

Book Value Growth Rate (Linear):100.0%

C. Company Profile & Context

Corporate Information (6)

Symbol:MSAI

Company Name:MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.

Sector:Unknown

Industry:Optical Instruments & Lenses

Exchange:NASDAQ

Country:United States

Market Classification (3)

Market Cap Category:N/A

Price Category:low

Volume Category:N/A

Share Structure (3)

Shares Outstanding:2.07M

Shares Outstanding Basic:2.07M

Shares Outstanding Diluted:2.07M

Data Processing Info (3)

Processing Version:v3.0

Last Updated:2026-09-01 15:41:08 UTC

Data Timestamp:2026-08-21T16:57:27.859629