Financial Services • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INC. (MKTX) is not a buy — GOOD BUSINESS (70/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -4.9% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INC. (MKTX) trades at $162.72 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $49.43 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $199.51M TTM, projected at -6.6% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -4.9% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (22.9%) and reinvestment rate (14.2%), the business can fundamentally grow at 3.3% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 8.1%. This places MKTX in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -26.4% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, MKTX generated $199.51M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $112.14M paid as dividends, $82.69M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 14.2%. Owner Earnings have declined at 6.6% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.