Healthcare • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc (KNSA) is not a buy — GOOD BUSINESS (73/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -16.6% and a Brina Gap of -28.0% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc (KNSA) trades at $78.08 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $66.97 — a -16.6% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $164.68M TTM, projected at 37.5% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -28.0% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (14.0%) and reinvestment rate (0.0%), the business can fundamentally grow at 0.0% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 28.0%. This places KNSA in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 16.4% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, KNSA generated $164.68M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $1.63M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 0.0%. Owner Earnings have grown at 37.5% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.