Healthcare • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (JAZZ) is not a buy — AVERAGE BUSINESS (52/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -3.1% and a Brina Gap of -41.0% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (JAZZ) trades at $246.02 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $238.65 — a -3.1% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $1.27B TTM, projected at -0.4% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -41.0% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (1.9%) and reinvestment rate (-421.7%), the business can fundamentally grow at -7.9% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 33.1%. This places JAZZ in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -1.0% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, JAZZ generated $1.27B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $64.57M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -421.7%. Owner Earnings have declined at 0.4% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.