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ZYBERNO

Stock Report

Updated Aug 25, 2026

iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (ISMCF)

Financial Services • Over The Counter

Professional Investment Analysis

ZYBERNO SCORE →

Is it a great business? Is it getting better?

42.0/100

WEAK BUSINESS

iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (ISMCF) scores 42/100 — weak fundamentals with mixed indicators requiring careful analysis before acting.

📊 How is the Zyberno Score calculated? +

The Zyberno Score answers one question: "Is this a quality business worth owning?" It's a 0-100 investment grade that evaluates business fundamentals across four critical dimensions, based on principles from Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, and Charlie Munger.

The 4 Core Categories (25 points each):

1. PROFITABILITY (25 pts)

Metrics: ROE, ROIC, Net Margin, Operating Margin
Thresholds: ROE >20% excellent • ROIC >20% excellent • Net Margin >20% excellent • Operating Margin >25% excellent

2. FINANCIAL STRENGTH (25 pts)

Metrics: Debt-to-Equity, Current Ratio, Interest Coverage, Altman Z-Score
Thresholds: D/E <0.3 excellent • Current Ratio >2.5 excellent • Interest Coverage >10x excellent • Altman Z >3.0 safe

3. CASH FLOW QUALITY (25 pts)

Metrics: Free Cash Flow, OCF vs Net Income, FCF Margin
Thresholds: Positive & growing FCF excellent • OCF/NI >1.2x excellent (cash earnings exceed accounting)

4. GROWTH & CONSISTENCY (25 pts)

Metrics: Revenue Growth, Net Income Growth, FCF Growth, Piotroski F-Score
Thresholds: Growth via log-linear regression • Piotroski 8-9 excellent, 6-7 good

Score Interpretation:

75-100

GREAT BUSINESS

65-74

GOOD BUSINESS

50-64

AVERAGE BUSINESS

30-49

WEAK BUSINESS

0-29

POOR BUSINESS

→ View full ISMCF quality analysis & detailed breakdown

VALUATION SIGNAL

MARGIN OF SAFETY

Is this stock cheap or expensive relative to what the business has historically generated for owners?

Margin of Safety unavailable — insufficient data for the owner-earnings DCF.

BRINA GAP ↗

Is the market underestimating or overestimating what this business is capable of going forward?

-50.0%

Market Overestimates

💰 How is Margin of Safety calculated? +

Margin of Safety measures how much discount or premium you're paying relative to a stock's intrinsic value. It's Benjamin Graham's core principle: the larger the margin, the lower your downside risk.

Formula: (Intrinsic Value − Current Price) ÷ Intrinsic Value × 100%

How We Calculate Intrinsic Value (DCF Method):

Step 1: Calculate current Owner Earnings (OCF − Maintenance CapEx)

Step 2: Calculate company-specific growth rate using log-linear regression on 16 quarters of Owner Earnings

Step 3: Project 10 years forward using the calculated growth rate

Step 4: Discount each year's cash flow to present value using 10% discount rate

Step 5: Calculate terminal value using 3% perpetual growth rate

Step 6: Sum all discounted cash flows = Intrinsic Value

What The Percentages Mean:

+50% or more

EXCELLENT — Very undervalued

+25% to +50%

GOOD — Attractive discount

0% to +25%

FAIR — Reasonable value

0% to -25%

CAUTION — Slight premium

-25% or worse

POOR — Overvalued

"Price is what you pay, value is what you get." — Warren Buffett

→ View full ISMCF valuation analysis · → View full ISMCF Brina Gap analysis

📈 How is Brina Gap calculated? +

Brina Gap measures the difference between the growth a business can fundamentally sustain and the growth the market is already pricing in.

Formula: Fundamental Growth Rate − Market-Implied Growth Rate

The Two Components:

Fundamental Growth Rate = ROIC × Reinvestment Rate

What the business can sustainably grow at based on how much it reinvests and what return it earns on that capital. Grounded in historical financials.

Market-Implied Growth Rate = Reverse DCF

The growth rate the current Enterprise Value implicitly assumes. Calculated by back-solving a 10-year DCF model (10% WACC, 3% terminal growth) until the present value of projected cash flows equals EV.

What The Gap Means:

Gap > +5% Market Underestimates — potential upside

+2% to +5% Slight Underestimate

-2% to +2% Fairly Priced — market consensus matches fundamentals

-5% to -2% Slight Overestimate

Gap < -5% Market Overestimates — price embeds optimism fundamentals don't support

A positive gap (market underestimates) combined with a positive Margin of Safety is the strongest combined signal — the business is both cheap historically and forward economics are stronger than the price suggests.

Critical Financial Health Indicators

Return on Equity (Profitability):POOR (8.8%)

Debt-to-Equity (Solvency Risk):EXCELLENT (0.00x)

Operating Margin (Operational Efficiency):EXCELLENT (87.0%)

Return on Capital (Capital Efficiency):CRITICAL (3.3%)

📊 Valuation Trilogy

Three interconnected metrics for complete valuation analysis

Click any metric for full methodology and detailed analysis

Zyberno's Verdict

iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (ISMCF) stock report — Zyberno Score 42/100 (WEAK BUSINESS). Full financial analysis on Zyberno.

According to Zyberno's DCF model, iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (ISMCF) shows a Brina Gap of -50.0%, which weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (3.3%) and reinvestment rate (0.0%), the business can fundamentally grow at 0.0% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 50.0%.

DIVISION I: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A. Market Valuation

Market Price & Capitalization (1)

Market Cap:$48.67B

Valuation Multiples (4)

P/E Ratio:

463.35x

📊 Click to view full ISMCF P/E analysis →

P/B Ratio:61.83x

P/S Ratio:1,143.97x

Peg Ratio:-999.00x

Enterprise Metrics (2)

Enterprise Value:$48.66B

Ev Ebitda Ratio:967.98x

Price Action & Momentum (3)

12-1 Momentum:

+16.8% (65th pctile)

📈 Click to view full ISMCF Momentum analysis →

Momentum Percentile:65 / 100

% of 52-Week High:98.0%

B. Profitability Assessment

Return Metrics (7)

ROE:

8.8%

📊 Click to view full ISMCF ROE analysis →

ROA:8.7%

Roic:

3.3%

📊 Click to view full ISMCF ROIC analysis →

Reinvestment Rate:0.0%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):0.0%

Market-Implied Growth Rate:50.0%

Brina Gap:

-50.0%

☷ Click to view full ISMCF Brina Gap analysis →

Margin Analysis (3)

Operating Margin Ttm:87.0%

Net Margin Ttm:150.5%

Ebitda Margin:87.0%

TTM Performance (2)

Operating Margin Ttm:87.0%

Net Margin Ttm:150.5%

Yield Metrics (2)

Earnings Yield:$0.22

Dividend Yield:0.0%

C. Log-Linear Regression Growth Trends

Revenue Growth (Linear) (1)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):100.0%

Earnings Growth (Linear) (1)

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-50.0%

Cash Flow Growth (Linear) (1)

Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-26.7%

Operating Growth (Linear) (1)

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):19.7%

D. Financial Stability

Liquidity Ratios (3)

Current Ratio:0.44x

Quick Ratio:0.44x

Cash Ratio:0.44x

Leverage Analysis (3)

Debt To Equity Ttm:0.00x

Debt-to-Equity Ratio:0.00x

Debt To Ebitda:0.00x

Coverage Ratios (1)

Times Interest Earned:-999.00

Capital Structure (4)

Working Capital:-6,617,076.00

Cash And Cash Equivalents:5,181,064.00

Long Term Debt:$0.00

Net Debt:-$5.18M

DIVISION II: FINANCIAL STATEMENTS ANALYSIS

A. Income Statement Analysis

Revenue Components (2)

Revenue TTM: $57.75M

Linear Growth: 100.0%

📊 Click to view full ISMCF Revenue analysis & methodology →

Cost Of Revenue Ttm:$0.00

Profitability Breakdown (2)

$0.00

Operating income TTM: $50.27M

Linear Growth: 19.7%

📊 Click to view full ISMCF Operating Income analysis & methodology →

Bottom Line Performance (3)

Net income TTM: $86.90M

Linear Growth: -50.0%

📊 Click to view full ISMCF Net Income analysis & methodology →

Income Before Tax:$0.00

Ebitda Ttm:50,273,494.00

Operating Expenses (5)

Operating Expenses:2,133,551.00

R And D Expense:0.00

Sga Expense:0.00

Income Tax Expense:$0.00

Interest Expense:0.00

Expense Ratios (3)

R And D To Revenue Percentage:0.0%

Sga To Revenue Percentage:0.0%

Ebitda Margin:87.0%

B. Balance Sheet Analysis

Asset Composition (5)

Total Assets:$798.92M

Current Assets:$5.18M

Ppe Net:0.00

Goodwill:0.00

Intangible Assets:$0.00

Liability Structure (4)

Total Liabilities:11,798,140.00

Current Liabilities:11,798,140.00

Long Term Debt:$0.00

Short Term Debt:$0.00

Equity & Capital (3)

Equity:$787.12M

Retained Earnings:$0.00

Common Stock:0.00

Working Capital Items (3)

Accounts Receivable:0.00

Inventory:0.00

Accounts Payable:525,593.00

Special Items (2)

Contract Liabilities:0.00

Stock Based Compensation:0.00

C. Cash Flow Analysis

Operating Activities (2)

Operating cash flow TTM: $45.97M

Linear Growth: -26.7%

$0.00

Investment Activities (1)

Investing Cash Flow:$0.00

Financing Activities (3)

Financing Cash Flow:-$45.52M

Dividends Paid Ttm:0.00

Stock Repurchase:0.00

Capital Transactions (3)

Common Stock Issuance:0.00

Long Term Debt Issuance:$0.00

Long Term Debt Repayments:$0.00

DIVISION III: OPERATIONAL METRICS

A. Per Share Analysis

Earnings Per Share (2)

EPS (Basic TTM):1.44

Earnings Per Share Ttm:$0.93

Revenue & Cash Per Share (2)

Sales Per Share Ttm:0.69

Operating Cash Flow Per Share:-$0.95

Book Value & Capital (2)

Book Value Per Share:$12.85

Cash Per Share:0.08

Dividend Policy (1)

Dividend Payout Ratio:0.00x

B. Operational Efficiency

Asset Utilization (2)

Asset Turnover Ttm:0.04x

Working Capital Turnover Ttm:-999.00x

Receivables Management (2)

Receivables Turnover Ttm:-999.00x

Days Sales Outstanding Ttm:-999.00

Inventory Management (2)

Inventory Turnover Ttm:-999.00x

Days Inventory Outstanding Ttm:-999.00

Payables & Cash Cycle (2)

Days Payable Outstanding:4.51

Cash Conversion Cycle:-2,002.51

C. Quality & Risk Metrics

Financial Quality Scores (2)

Financial Strength Score:60.00

Quality Score:105.00

Market Metrics (2)

Beta:0.00x

Volatility Category:unknown

DIVISION IV: INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

A. Value Investment Framework

Damodaran Growth Analysis (4)

Reinvestment Rate:0.0%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):0.0%

Market-Implied Growth Rate:50.0%

Brina Gap:

-50.0%

☷ Click to view full ISMCF Brina Gap analysis →

B. Log-Linear Regression Growth Analysis

Growth Rates (Log-Linear Regression) (3)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):100.0%

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-50.0%

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):19.7%

Cash Flow Growth Rates (1)

Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-26.7%

Other Growth Rates (1)

Book Value Growth Rate (Linear):-34.5%

C. Company Profile & Context

Corporate Information (6)

Symbol:ISMCF

Company Name:iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

Sector:Financial Services

Industry:Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers

Exchange:Over The Counter

Country:Unknown

Market Classification (3)

Market Cap Category:N/A

Price Category:premium

Volume Category:N/A

Share Structure (3)

Shares Outstanding:61.26M

Shares Outstanding Basic:61.26M

Shares Outstanding Diluted:0

Data Processing Info (3)

Processing Version:v3.0

Last Updated:2026-08-25 14:31:27 UTC

Data Timestamp:2026-03-29T15:11:31.055508