NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, ICF International, Inc. (ICFI) shows a Value Trap signal — AVERAGE BUSINESS (53/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +55.8%, but a Brina Gap of -4.4% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, ICF International, Inc. (ICFI) trades at $90.22 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $204.11 — a +55.8% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $150.73M TTM, projected at 14.7% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -4.4% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (8.0%) and reinvestment rate (14.2%), the business can fundamentally grow at 1.1% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 5.5%. This places ICFI in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 35.0% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, ICFI generated $150.73M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $18.35M returned via share buybacks, $10.21M paid as dividends, $21.04M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 14.2%. Owner Earnings have grown at 14.7% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.