NYSE
According to Zyberno, HERC HOLDINGS INC. (HRI) shows a Value Trap signal — WEAK BUSINESS (39/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +62.9%, but a Brina Gap of -2.5% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, HERC HOLDINGS INC. (HRI) trades at $150.60 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $405.57 — a +62.9% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $1.06B TTM, projected at 1.2% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -2.5% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (0.5%) and reinvestment rate (9,473.7%), the business can fundamentally grow at 42.8% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 45.2%. This places HRI in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 23.4% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, HRI generated $1.06B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $93.00M paid as dividends, $165.00M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 9,473.7%. Owner Earnings have grown at 1.2% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.