Financial Services • NYSE
According to Zyberno, HOULIHAN LOKEY, INC. (HLI) shows a Value Trap signal — GOOD BUSINESS (74/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +38.9%, but a Brina Gap of -4.6% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, HOULIHAN LOKEY, INC. (HLI) trades at $133.02 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $217.64 — a +38.9% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $465.12M TTM, projected at 26.9% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -4.6% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (22.7%) and reinvestment rate (7.7%), the business can fundamentally grow at 1.8% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 6.3%. This places HLI in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 32.4% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, HLI generated $465.12M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $50.00M returned via share buybacks, $182.56M paid as dividends, $77.36M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 7.7%. Owner Earnings have grown at 26.9% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.