Materials • NYSE
According to Zyberno, HECLA MINING COMPANY (HL) shows a Value Trap signal — GREAT BUSINESS (94/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +21.6%, but a Brina Gap of -4.2% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, HECLA MINING COMPANY (HL) trades at $20.38 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $25.99 — a +21.6% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $560.28M TTM, projected at 100.0% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -4.2% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (27.6%) and reinvestment rate (13.7%), the business can fundamentally grow at 3.8% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 8.0%. This places HL in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 26.0% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, HL generated $560.28M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $1.16M returned via share buybacks, $10.79M paid as dividends, $237.56M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 13.7%. Owner Earnings have grown at 100.0% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.