Real Estate • NYSE
According to Zyberno, GETTY REALTY CORP. (GTY) shows a Value Trap signal — AVERAGE BUSINESS (52/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +35.6%, but a Brina Gap of -14.8% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, GETTY REALTY CORP. (GTY) trades at $32.87 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $51.03 — a +35.6% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $131.46M TTM, projected at 13.9% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -14.8% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (4.9%) and reinvestment rate (-55.2%), the business can fundamentally grow at -2.7% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 12.1%. This places GTY in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 24.4% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, GTY generated $131.46M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $116.04M paid as dividends, $426.00K invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -55.2%. Owner Earnings have grown at 13.9% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.