Consumer Discretionary • NYSE
According to Zyberno, Global Partners LP (GLP) shows Underestimated Growth — AVERAGE BUSINESS (51/100) with a Brina Gap of +15.5% showing underestimated forward growth, but no margin of safety at -69.9%.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Global Partners LP (GLP) trades at $50.50 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $29.72 — a -69.9% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $226.50M TTM, projected at -36.9% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of +15.5% strengthens the case: based on the company's ROIC (27.6%) and reinvestment rate (27.9%), the business can fundamentally grow at 7.7% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects -7.8%. This places GLP in the Underestimated Growth quadrant of the Brina Matrix, where growth is underestimated but no margin of safety on existing cash. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -28.0% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, GLP generated $226.50M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $2.63M returned via share buybacks, $105.44M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 27.9%. Owner Earnings have declined at 36.9% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.