NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, Gulf Island Fabrication, Inc. (GIFI) is not a buy — AVERAGE BUSINESS (58/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -14.8% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Gulf Island Fabrication, Inc. (GIFI) trades at $12.00 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $3.68 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $10.46M TTM, projected at -10.2% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -14.8% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (5.8%) and reinvestment rate (9.2%), the business can fundamentally grow at 0.5% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 15.3%. This places GIFI in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -29.1% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, GIFI generated $10.46M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $567.00K returned via share buybacks, $3.10M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 9.2%. Owner Earnings have declined at 10.2% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.