NYSE
According to Zyberno, GENESIS ENERGY LP (GEL) shows a Value Trap signal — WEAK BUSINESS (31/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +64.6%, but a Brina Gap of -35.4% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, GENESIS ENERGY LP (GEL) trades at $16.06 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $45.34 — a +64.6% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $178.38M TTM, projected at 32.6% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -35.4% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (10.6%) and reinvestment rate (-303.7%), the business can fundamentally grow at -32.2% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 3.2%. This places GEL in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 47.7% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, GEL generated $178.38M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $131.38M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -303.7%. Owner Earnings have grown at 32.6% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.