Technology • NYSE
According to Zyberno, TechnipFMC plc (FTI) is not a buy — GREAT BUSINESS (82/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -2.8% and a Brina Gap of -13.5% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, TechnipFMC plc (FTI) trades at $76.32 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $74.21 — a -2.8% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $1.34B TTM, projected at 12.4% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -13.5% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (37.9%) and reinvestment rate (-9.8%), the business can fundamentally grow at -3.7% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 9.8%. This places FTI in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 11.7% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, FTI generated $1.34B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $264.80M returned via share buybacks, $80.40M paid as dividends, $311.00M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -9.8%. Owner Earnings have grown at 12.4% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.