Real Estate • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, FRP HOLDINGS, INC. (FRPH) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (33/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -3.4% and a Brina Gap of -22.5% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, FRP HOLDINGS, INC. (FRPH) trades at $22.18 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $21.44 — a -3.4% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $23.16M TTM, projected at 7.8% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -22.5% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (0.7%) and reinvestment rate (1,681.6%), the business can fundamentally grow at 11.5% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 34.0%. This places FRPH in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 7.1% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, FRPH generated $23.16M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $61.46M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 1,681.6%. Owner Earnings have grown at 7.8% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.