Consumer Discretionary • NYSE
According to Zyberno, Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (39/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -12.2% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) trades at $53.00 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $7.34 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $177.40M TTM, projected at -37.3% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -12.2% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (5.3%) and reinvestment rate (33.2%), the business can fundamentally grow at 1.8% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 14.0%. This places FND in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -46.1% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, FND generated $177.40M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $314.47M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 33.2%. Owner Earnings have declined at 37.3% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.