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ZYBERNO

Stock Report

Updated Aug 31, 2026

FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO)

Consumer Staples • NYSE

$7.10

Flowers Foods Inc. is an American producer and marketer of packaged bakery foods headquartered in Thomasville, Georgia. The company produces and markets Nature's Own (the top-selling white bread brand in the United States), Wonder, Dave's Killer Bread, Canyon Bakehouse, and other fresh and frozen breads, buns, rolls, and snack cakes distributed to retail grocery chains, mass merchandisers, and foodservice operators.

Professional Investment Analysis

ZYBERNO SCORE →

Is it a great business? Is it getting better?

23.0/100

POOR BUSINESS

FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) scores 23/100 — concerning metrics indicating significant structural or financial risks.

📊 How is the Zyberno Score calculated? +

The Zyberno Score answers one question: "Is this a quality business worth owning?" It's a 0-100 investment grade that evaluates business fundamentals across four critical dimensions, based on principles from Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, and Charlie Munger.

The 4 Core Categories (25 points each):

1. PROFITABILITY (25 pts)

Metrics: ROE, ROIC, Net Margin, Operating Margin
Thresholds: ROE >20% excellent • ROIC >20% excellent • Net Margin >20% excellent • Operating Margin >25% excellent

2. FINANCIAL STRENGTH (25 pts)

Metrics: Debt-to-Equity, Current Ratio, Interest Coverage, Altman Z-Score
Thresholds: D/E <0.3 excellent • Current Ratio >2.5 excellent • Interest Coverage >10x excellent • Altman Z >3.0 safe

3. CASH FLOW QUALITY (25 pts)

Metrics: Free Cash Flow, OCF vs Net Income, FCF Margin
Thresholds: Positive & growing FCF excellent • OCF/NI >1.2x excellent (cash earnings exceed accounting)

4. GROWTH & CONSISTENCY (25 pts)

Metrics: Revenue Growth, Net Income Growth, FCF Growth, Piotroski F-Score
Thresholds: Growth via log-linear regression • Piotroski 8-9 excellent, 6-7 good

Score Interpretation:

75-100

GREAT BUSINESS

65-74

GOOD BUSINESS

50-64

AVERAGE BUSINESS

30-49

WEAK BUSINESS

0-29

POOR BUSINESS

→ View full FLO quality analysis & detailed breakdown

VALUATION SIGNAL

MARGIN OF SAFETY

Is this stock cheap or expensive relative to what the business has historically generated for owners?

Margin of Safety unavailable — insufficient data for the owner-earnings DCF.

BRINA GAP ↗

Is the market underestimating or overestimating what this business is capable of going forward?

+15.5%

Market Underestimates

💰 How is Margin of Safety calculated? +

Margin of Safety measures how much discount or premium you're paying relative to a stock's intrinsic value. It's Benjamin Graham's core principle: the larger the margin, the lower your downside risk.

Formula: (Intrinsic Value − Current Price) ÷ Intrinsic Value × 100%

How We Calculate Intrinsic Value (DCF Method):

Step 1: Calculate current Owner Earnings (OCF − Maintenance CapEx)

Step 2: Calculate company-specific growth rate using log-linear regression on 16 quarters of Owner Earnings

Step 3: Project 10 years forward using the calculated growth rate

Step 4: Discount each year's cash flow to present value using 10% discount rate

Step 5: Calculate terminal value using 3% perpetual growth rate

Step 6: Sum all discounted cash flows = Intrinsic Value

What The Percentages Mean:

+50% or more

EXCELLENT — Very undervalued

+25% to +50%

GOOD — Attractive discount

0% to +25%

FAIR — Reasonable value

0% to -25%

CAUTION — Slight premium

-25% or worse

POOR — Overvalued

"Price is what you pay, value is what you get." — Warren Buffett

→ View full FLO valuation analysis · → View full FLO Brina Gap analysis

📈 How is Brina Gap calculated? +

Brina Gap measures the difference between the growth a business can fundamentally sustain and the growth the market is already pricing in.

Formula: Fundamental Growth Rate − Market-Implied Growth Rate

The Two Components:

Fundamental Growth Rate = ROIC × Reinvestment Rate

What the business can sustainably grow at based on how much it reinvests and what return it earns on that capital. Grounded in historical financials.

Market-Implied Growth Rate = Reverse DCF

The growth rate the current Enterprise Value implicitly assumes. Calculated by back-solving a 10-year DCF model (10% WACC, 3% terminal growth) until the present value of projected cash flows equals EV.

What The Gap Means:

Gap > +5% Market Underestimates — potential upside

+2% to +5% Slight Underestimate

-2% to +2% Fairly Priced — market consensus matches fundamentals

-5% to -2% Slight Overestimate

Gap < -5% Market Overestimates — price embeds optimism fundamentals don't support

A positive gap (market underestimates) combined with a positive Margin of Safety is the strongest combined signal — the business is both cheap historically and forward economics are stronger than the price suggests.

Critical Financial Health Indicators

Return on Equity (Profitability):CRITICAL (0.0%)

Debt-to-Equity (Solvency Risk):POOR (1.47x)

Operating Margin (Operational Efficiency):CRITICAL (0.0%)

Return on Capital (Capital Efficiency):CRITICAL (4.4%)

📊 Valuation Trilogy

Three interconnected metrics for complete valuation analysis

Click any metric for full methodology and detailed analysis

Zyberno's Verdict

FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) stock report — Zyberno Score 23/100 (POOR BUSINESS). Full financial analysis on Zyberno.

According to Zyberno's DCF model, FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) shows a Brina Gap of +15.5%, which strengthens the case: based on the company's ROIC (4.4%) and reinvestment rate (576.5%), the business can fundamentally grow at 25.4% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 9.9%.

DIVISION I: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A. Market Valuation

Market Price & Capitalization (2)

Current Price:7.10

Market Cap:$1.51B

Valuation Multiples (2)

P/B Ratio:1.14x

Peg Ratio:-999.00x

Enterprise Metrics (3)

Enterprise Value:$3.14B

Ev Ebitda Ratio:9.20x

Pfcf Ratio:4.72x

Price Action & Momentum (3)

12-1 Momentum:

-47.6% (9th pctile)

📈 Click to view full FLO Momentum analysis →

Momentum Percentile:9 / 100

% of 52-Week High:46.3%

B. Profitability Assessment

Return Metrics (5)

Roic:

4.4%

📊 Click to view full FLO ROIC analysis →

Reinvestment Rate:576.5%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):25.4%

Market-Implied Growth Rate:9.9%

Brina Gap:

15.5%

☷ Click to view full FLO Brina Gap analysis →

Margin Analysis (1)

Ebitda Margin:6.5%

Yield Metrics (2)

Earnings Yield:-$999.00

Dividend Yield:12.1%

C. Log-Linear Regression Growth Trends

Earnings Surprise (SUE) (3)

Earnings Surprise (SUE):

-0.39

📊 Click to view full FLO Earnings Surprise analysis →

EPS Surprise vs Expected:-27.4%

Latest Earnings Filed:2026-08-20

Revenue Growth (Linear) (1)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):4.3%

Earnings Growth (Linear) (1)

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):12.0%

Operating Growth (Linear) (1)

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):4.5%

D. Financial Stability

Liquidity Ratios (3)

Current Ratio:0.77x

Quick Ratio:0.57x

Cash Ratio:0.05x

Leverage Analysis (3)

Debt To Equity Ttm:1.47x

Debt-to-Equity Ratio:1.47x

Debt To Ebitda:4.94x

Coverage Ratios (2)

Interest Coverage Ratio:2.73x

Times Interest Earned:2.73

Capital Structure (4)

Working Capital:-231,865,000.00

Cash And Cash Equivalents:52,766,000.00

Long Term Debt:$1.29B

Net Debt:$1.63B

DIVISION II: FINANCIAL STATEMENTS ANALYSIS

A. Income Statement Analysis

Revenue Components (2)

Revenue TTM: $5.26B

Linear Growth: 4.3%

📊 Click to view full FLO Revenue analysis & methodology →

Cost Of Revenue Ttm:$0.00

Profitability Breakdown (2)

$0.00

Operating income TTM: $173.98M

Linear Growth: 4.5%

📊 Click to view full FLO Operating Income analysis & methodology →

Bottom Line Performance (3)

Net income TTM: $83.83M

Linear Growth: 12.0%

📊 Click to view full FLO Net Income analysis & methodology →

Income Before Tax:$270.39M

Ebitda Ttm:341,408,000.00

Operating Expenses (5)

Operating Expenses:0.00

R And D Expense:9,300.00

Sga Expense:1,883,033,000.00

Income Tax Expense:$66.85M

Interest Expense:63,639,000.00

Expense Ratios (3)

R And D To Revenue Percentage:0.0%

Sga To Revenue Percentage:157.8%

Ebitda Margin:6.5%

B. Balance Sheet Analysis

Asset Composition (5)

Total Assets:$4.19B

Current Assets:$786.35M

Ppe Net:926,854,000.00

Goodwill:1,047,119,000.00

Intangible Assets:$58.00K

Liability Structure (4)

Total Liabilities:2,862,341,000.00

Current Liabilities:1,018,210,000.00

Long Term Debt:$1.29B

Short Term Debt:$399.89M

Equity & Capital (3)

Equity:$1.32B

Retained Earnings:$853.76M

Common Stock:500,000,000.00

Working Capital Items (3)

Accounts Receivable:0.00

Inventory:207,551,000.00

Accounts Payable:330,705,000.00

Special Items (2)

Contract Liabilities:0.00

Stock Based Compensation:7,080,000.00

C. Cash Flow Analysis

Operating Activities (2)

$446.20M$319.09M

Investment Activities (1)

Investing Cash Flow:-$943.16M

Financing Activities (3)

Financing Cash Flow:$504.05M

Dividends Paid Ttm:181,582,000.00

Stock Repurchase:5,499,000.00

Capital Transactions (3)

Common Stock Issuance:0.00

Long Term Debt Issuance:$1.01B

Long Term Debt Repayments:$266.30M

DIVISION III: OPERATIONAL METRICS

A. Per Share Analysis

Earnings Per Share (1)

Earnings Per Share Ttm:$0.40

Revenue & Cash Per Share (2)

Sales Per Share Ttm:24.78

Operating Cash Flow Per Share:$2.10

Book Value & Capital (2)

Book Value Per Share:$6.24

Cash Per Share:0.25

Dividend Policy (1)

Dividend Payout Ratio:-999.00x

B. Operational Efficiency

Asset Utilization (2)

Asset Turnover Ttm:1.24x

Working Capital Turnover Ttm:-999.00x

Receivables Management (2)

Receivables Turnover Ttm:-999.00x

Days Sales Outstanding Ttm:-999.00

Inventory Management (2)

Inventory Turnover Ttm:25.33x

Days Inventory Outstanding Ttm:14.41

Payables & Cash Cycle (2)

Days Payable Outstanding:22.96

Cash Conversion Cycle:-1,007.55

C. Quality & Risk Metrics

Financial Quality Scores (2)

Financial Strength Score:0.00

Quality Score:65.00

Market Metrics (2)

Beta:0.00x

Volatility Category:unknown

DIVISION IV: INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

A. Value Investment Framework

Damodaran Growth Analysis (4)

Reinvestment Rate:576.5%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):25.4%

Market-Implied Growth Rate:9.9%

Brina Gap:

15.5%

☷ Click to view full FLO Brina Gap analysis →

B. Log-Linear Regression Growth Analysis

Growth Rates (Log-Linear Regression) (3)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):4.3%

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):12.0%

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):4.5%

Other Growth Rates (1)

Book Value Growth Rate (Linear):-2.1%

C. Company Profile & Context

Corporate Information (6)

Symbol:FLO

Company Name:FLOWERS FOODS INC

Sector:Consumer Staples

Industry:Food and Kindred Products

Exchange:NYSE

Country:United States

Market Classification (3)

Market Cap Category:N/A

Price Category:low

Volume Category:N/A

Share Structure (3)

Shares Outstanding:212.13M

Shares Outstanding Basic:212.13M

Shares Outstanding Diluted:212.49M

Data Processing Info (3)

Processing Version:v3.0

Last Updated:2026-08-31 13:40:33 UTC

Data Timestamp:2026-08-31T13:40:33.143108