Consumer Discretionary • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) is not a buy — GOOD BUSINESS (74/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -9.1% and a Brina Gap of -15.3% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) trades at $241.89 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $221.73 — a -9.1% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $509.42M TTM, projected at 14.4% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -15.3% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (11.6%) and reinvestment rate (-4.1%), the business can fundamentally grow at -0.5% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 14.8%. This places FIVE in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 12.4% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, FIVE generated $509.42M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $175.72M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -4.1%. Owner Earnings have grown at 14.4% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.