Technology • NYSE
According to Zyberno, FACTSET RESEARCH SYSTEMS INC. (FDS) is not a buy — GOOD BUSINESS (73/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -40.6% and a Brina Gap of +0.9% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, FACTSET RESEARCH SYSTEMS INC. (FDS) trades at $308.98 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $219.73 — a -40.6% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $647.39M TTM, projected at 0.3% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of +0.9% strengthens the case: based on the company's ROIC (18.9%) and reinvestment rate (46.3%), the business can fundamentally grow at 8.8% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 7.8%. This places FDS in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -6.3% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, FDS generated $647.39M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $139.90M returned via share buybacks, $164.86M paid as dividends, $113.78M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 46.3%. Owner Earnings have grown at 0.3% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.