Industrial • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, Energy Services of America CORP (ESOA) is not a buy — AVERAGE BUSINESS (50/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -10.7% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Energy Services of America CORP (ESOA) trades at $11.50 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $2.80 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $3.96M TTM, projected at 1.7% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -10.7% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (14.0%) and reinvestment rate (-36.0%), the business can fundamentally grow at -5.0% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 5.7%. This places ESOA in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -25.0% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, ESOA generated $3.96M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $846.53K returned via share buybacks, $194.78K paid as dividends, $5.48M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -36.0%. Owner Earnings have grown at 1.7% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.