Materials • NYSE
According to Zyberno, Element Solutions Inc (ESI) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (32/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -25.7% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Element Solutions Inc (ESI) trades at $34.93 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $0.13 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $6.90M TTM, projected at -27.4% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -25.7% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (5.4%) and reinvestment rate (-159.5%), the business can fundamentally grow at -8.6% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 17.2%. This places ESI in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -74.0% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, ESI generated $6.90M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $78.20M paid as dividends, $76.30M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -159.5%. Owner Earnings have declined at 27.4% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.