Technology • NYSE
According to Zyberno, ESAB Corporation (ESAB) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (33/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -45.4% and a Brina Gap of -2.1% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, ESAB Corporation (ESAB) trades at $76.43 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $52.58 — a -45.4% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $218.38M TTM, projected at 4.1% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -2.1% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (5.7%) and reinvestment rate (146.4%), the business can fundamentally grow at 8.4% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 10.5%. This places ESAB in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -3.4% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, ESAB generated $218.38M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $23.14M paid as dividends, $53.70M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 146.4%. Owner Earnings have grown at 4.1% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.