Financial Services • NYSE
According to Zyberno, EQUITY BANCSHARES, INC. (EQBK) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (38/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -15.7% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, EQUITY BANCSHARES, INC. (EQBK) trades at $49.62 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $14.24 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $38.79M TTM, projected at -9.5% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -15.7% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (3.0%) and reinvestment rate (20.3%), the business can fundamentally grow at 0.6% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 16.3%. This places EQBK in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -29.5% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, EQBK generated $38.79M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $22.68M returned via share buybacks, $13.31M paid as dividends, $15.59M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 20.3%. Owner Earnings have declined at 9.5% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.