Financial Services • NYSE
According to Zyberno, EPR PROPERTIES (EPR) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (46/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -13.8% and a Brina Gap of -8.2% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, EPR PROPERTIES (EPR) trades at $59.55 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $52.34 — a -13.8% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $345.69M TTM, projected at -0.9% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -8.2% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (6.5%) and reinvestment rate (-4.3%), the business can fundamentally grow at -0.3% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 7.9%. This places EPR in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -3.4% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, EPR generated $345.69M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $13.14M returned via share buybacks, $291.29M paid as dividends, $173.52M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -4.3%. Owner Earnings have declined at 0.9% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.