Industrial • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, THE EASTERN COMPANY (EML) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (34/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -7.3% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, THE EASTERN COMPANY (EML) trades at $26.34 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $6.54 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $2.16M TTM, projected at 8.5% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -7.3% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (6.4%) and reinvestment rate (-21.3%), the business can fundamentally grow at -1.4% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 5.9%. This places EML in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -17.5% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, EML generated $2.16M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $422.36K returned via share buybacks, $2.72M paid as dividends. Reinvestment rate: -21.3%. Owner Earnings have grown at 8.5% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.