Consumer Discretionary • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, EDUCATIONAL DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION (EDUC) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (41/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of +0.1% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, EDUCATIONAL DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION (EDUC) trades at $1.33 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $0.39 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $741.70K TTM, projected at -28.6% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of +0.1% strengthens the case: based on the company's ROIC (3.6%) and reinvestment rate (-51.0%), the business can fundamentally grow at -1.8% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects -2.0%. This places EDUC in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -37.9% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, EDUC generated $741.70K in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $700.00 returned via share buybacks, $431.40K invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -51.0%. Owner Earnings have declined at 28.6% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.