Financial Services • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, Eagle Bancorp Montana, Inc. (EBMT) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (46/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -68.5% and a Brina Gap of -2.7% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Eagle Bancorp Montana, Inc. (EBMT) trades at $22.51 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $13.36 — a -68.5% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $23.44M TTM, projected at -30.3% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -2.7% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (6.8%) and reinvestment rate (-3.3%), the business can fundamentally grow at -0.2% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 2.4%. This places EBMT in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -28.7% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, EBMT generated $23.44M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $4.60M paid as dividends, $3.62M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -3.3%. Owner Earnings have declined at 30.3% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.